Stellar XLM’s Explosive 9% Surge Outshines XRP’s 7-Day Gains

• Stellar surged 9% in 24 hours, outpacing XRP’s gains, but XRP holds a stronger 7-day performance.
• Market sentiment is mixed, with the Fear & Greed Index at 20 (Extreme Fear) and analysts split on XLM’s short-term potential.
• A breakout above $0.365 could trigger a 40% rally to $0.50, but resistance and broader market conditions remain key.

Stellar (XLM) is making waves in the crypto market. In the last 24 hours, it surged by 9%, pulling ahead of Ripple’s XRP. This comes even as XRP holds a stronger weekly gain of nearly 9%. The broader crypto market is shaking off a slow start to 2025, and altcoins like Stellar are reaping the rewards.

Historically, XLM and XRP have mirrored each other’s movements. But recent price action shows signs of a shift. XLM is now trading between its 50-day moving average at $0.363 and its 200-day moving average at $0.258. If it breaks past these levels, it could chart a new path.

A strong move above the 50-day moving average could ignite further gains. If momentum falters, XLM might retreat to test lower support. Investors are watching closely to see if this rally has legs or if it’s a brief outperformance before XRP reclaims dominance.

Despite the recent pump, analysts are split on XLM’s near-term potential. CoinCodex, a crypto prediction platform, remains cautious. Their data suggests that Stellar will only rise by 7.8% over the next month, reaching $0.319 by April 3.

Several key indicators present a conflicting outlook for XLM. The Fear & Greed Index sits at 20, signaling Extreme Fear in the market. Over the last 30 days, XLM recorded 14 green days, accounting for 47% of the period. Meanwhile, its volatility rate stands at 6.35%, reflecting price fluctuations that add to market uncertainty.

These numbers suggest uncertainty. While XLM has seen green days nearly half the time, the market still leans bearish. The Fear & Greed Index shows that sentiment is weak, making it a risky buy at current levels.

Bullish Case – Could Stellar Hit $0.50 Soon?

Some analysts are taking a more optimistic view. They highlight an inverted head-and-shoulders pattern forming on XLM’s daily chart. If XLM breaks past $0.365 and closes above it, it could spark a rally toward $0.50.

Based on historical price movements, a successful breakout above this neckline could lead to a 40% surge. This would place XLM among the top-performing altcoins of the season.

XLM’s current momentum suggests short-term bullishness, but macro indicators remain uncertain. If the broader market enters a true altcoin season in April, XLM could ride the wave higher. However, analysts caution that XLM may trade sideways in the next three months before making a decisive move.