Analyst Warns Of 10% Bitcoin Price Drop Ahead Of CPI Data

Recently, there have been significant fluctuations in the prices of Bitcoin; presently, they oscillate between $87,000-$87,500. This may not be eye candy to investors who are currently on the sidelines waiting for the coin to hit $90k, particularly the release of CPI data set today, November 13. This news is perceived by analysts to have a considerable influence on market sentiment and the expected direction of the alpha crypto asset.

The Barometer For Inflation

Reflecting changes in the prices consumers pay for goods and services, the CPI report is a main indication of inflation. Expectations about the CPI can cause more volatility in the bitcoin markets as inflation rates affect the Federal Reserve’s choices on monetary policy.

Recent trends imply that should inflation remain lowered, the Federal Reserve might cut interest rates—historically this has had a positive effect on Bitcoin prices. Reduced borrowing rates sometimes inspire investment in risky assets such as cryptocurrencies, hence increasing demand for Bitcoin.

#Bitcoin is up to $90,000 and I think we’re about to get started with the markets.

The sweet spot is having a 10% correction towards the CME gap before we continue.

I’m slightly bearish going into CPI tomorrow. pic.twitter.com/dfpUc2df1k

— Michaël van de Poppe (@CryptoMichNL) November 12, 2024

Growing Investor Trust

Famous crypto expert Michaël van de Poppe, the founder of MNConsultancy, said that the current state of affairs in the crypto market corresponds well to the positive assessment of Bitcoin. In case CPI statistics would indicate more cases of inflation drops, he says that this would lead to growing investor trust and higher capital inflows into Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies.

He also cautions, though, that unanticipated inflation rises could surprise markets and cause pricing adjustments all around. He anticipates a 10% Bitcoin retracement prior to the release of CPI data, targeting a range of $75,660 to $81,193.

As traders get ready for the CPI figures, the general market mood remains mixed. Some experts think that positive CPI numbers could lead to a rise in Bitcoin prices, but others say that people shouldn’t get too excited.

Meanwhile, many investors are still optimistic about the long-run prospects of Bitcoin. The incoming administration of newly-elected US President Donald Trump adds another layer of complexity to market dynamics.

According to Van de Poppe, short-term regulatory actions will benefit Bitcoin, but their long-run consequences might be something more complex if control for inflation is not handled well.

Meanwhile, as Bitcoin continues in its path for a major price discovery, the focus will be on the CPI data and the impact they have on digital assets. Such an unpredictable environment should be approached with caution by investors while they remain focused on economic events that could swing their investments.

At the time of writing, Bitcoin was trading at $87,509, up 2.1% and 17.2% in the daily and weekly timeframes, data from Coingecko shows.

Featured image from The VR Soldier, chart from TradingView