Bitcoin (BTC) Price: Technical Analysis Points to $130,000 Target After Cup and Handle Formation

TLDR

• Bitcoin is consolidating in the $82,000-$84,000 range after a 22% correction from its all-time high
• Technical analysis shows Bitcoin forming a cup-and-handle pattern with a potential target of $130,000-$139,000
• Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) just purchased another 130 BTC, bringing their total to nearly 500,000 BTC
• Analysts see the current downturn as a temporary “shakeout” rather than the end of Bitcoin’s 4-year cycle
• On-chain data indicates strong accumulation by long-term holders despite price fluctuations

Bitcoin has been trading in a narrow range between $82,000 and $84,000 in recent days, following a 22% correction from its all-time high of $108,786 reached in January 2025. The market sentiment has turned cautious as hopes for a quick return above $90,000 have begun to fade.

However, technical analysis suggests that Bitcoin may be forming a cup-and-handle pattern. This pattern has been developing over multiple years, with the rounded bottom phase stretching from 2021 to mid-2024.

The cup-and-handle pattern completed its handle phase in November 2024. This led to an impressive rally that resulted in Bitcoin reaching its new all-time high in January 2025.

The recent 24% correction has brought Bitcoin’s price back to the neckline resistance of the cup-and-handle formation. This neckline is expected to serve as support for the current price action.

Elliott wave analysis presents an even more bullish case. Bitcoin is currently in a larger fifth impulse wave formation, which is typically bullish despite being interrupted by corrective ABC sub-waves.

According to this technical framework, Bitcoin could target price levels above $130,000. Some projections put the specific target at around $139,000.

Despite these bullish technical indicators, Bitcoin’s fundamentals show some uncertainty in the short term. There is currently a lack of momentum needed to challenge the $90,000 mark.

Bitcoin Price on CoinGecko

Steady institutional outflows from Spot Bitcoin ETFs have increased selling pressure. This has limited Bitcoin’s ability to regain strength in the immediate term.

Michael Saylor’s Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) continues its Bitcoin accumulation strategy. The company recently purchased another 130 BTC for $10.7 million.

This latest acquisition brings Strategy’s total holdings to 499,226 BTC. This is worth approximately $33.1 billion at current prices.

Strategy remains the largest corporate Bitcoin holder in the world. The company has consistently acquired Bitcoin even during market downturns.

Their average purchase price across all holdings stands at $66,360 per BTC. This demonstrates their long-term confidence in Bitcoin’s value proposition.

Market Analysis

Market analysts are viewing the current downturn differently than typical bear markets. Many describe it as a temporary “shakeout” rather than the end of Bitcoin’s 4-year cycle.

Bitfinex analysts note that “corrections within bull cycles are normal.” They suggest this may be a shakeout rather than the start of a prolonged bear market.

Despite fears of a disrupted bull market, Bitcoin’s four-year cycle and the recent halving event remain crucial for price action. The 2024 Bitcoin halving, which occurred on April 20, reduced the network’s block reward to 3.125 BTC per block.

Bitcoin’s price is up over 31% since the last halving. This event was considered the “most bullish” setup for Bitcoin price, partly due to growing institutional interest.

On-chain data shows strong holder resilience and continued accumulation. More Bitcoin is being held for longer periods, with short-term holders converting to long-term holders.

CryptoQuant analysts highlight that “this trend highlights a hodling behavior.” Investors are refraining from selling despite the current market correction.

Historically, this type of resilience among Bitcoin holders has played a crucial role in forming market bottoms. It often ignites new uptrends.

While some analysts predict Bitcoin could reach as high as $600,000, CoinCodex’s algorithm offers a more moderate forecast. It suggests BTC will surpass $175,000 by the end of 2025.

At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at approximately $83,500. The next few weeks will be critical in determining whether the support holds and the predicted rally materializes.

For those tracking Bitcoin’s price action, keeping an eye on the $72,000-$73,000 support range will be essential. Broader market factors, including global treasury yields and equity trends, will likely influence Bitcoin’s next major move.

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