Can XLM Stage a 30% Comeback After Three-Month Correction Phase?

TLDR:

• XLM forms inverse head and shoulders pattern targeting 30% rally toward $0.33 resistance level ahead
• Chaikin Money Flow remains positive during correction, indicating smart money accumulation continues
• Bullish divergence appears as MFI holds higher levels while XLM price makes lower lows recently
• Stellar’s Real-World Asset value grows 11% to nearly $986M, strengthening network fundamentals

Stellar’s native token XLM has declined approximately 34% over the past three months, yet technical indicators and network fundamentals suggest a possible trend reversal. 

The cryptocurrency is forming an inverse head and shoulders pattern on daily charts while maintaining positive capital inflows. 

Network activity continues expanding, with Real-World Asset value approaching $986 million on the Stellar blockchain.

Technical Pattern Points to Potential 30% Rally

XLM is developing a classic inverse head and shoulders formation across recent trading sessions. The left shoulder appeared in November, followed by the head formation in late December. 

The right shoulder emerged during January’s pullback, completing the traditional reversal structure. 

Market analysts typically view this pattern as a precursor to upward price movements when confirmed.

The projected target from this technical setup indicates a potential 30% advance toward $0.33. This measurement derives from the pattern’s depth and standard technical analysis methodology. 

Price action must break above the neckline resistance to validate the formation. Until that confirmation occurs, the pattern remains a developing structure rather than a completed signal.

Chart formations alone rarely drive sustainable price movements without supporting evidence. However, XLM’s pattern coincides with several fundamental developments on the Stellar network. 

The convergence of technical and fundamental factors often creates stronger conditions for trend changes. Traders monitoring these developments are watching for volume confirmation on any potential breakout attempt.

Capital Flows Remain Positive Despite Price Decline

Chaikin Money Flow readings have stayed positive throughout the recent price correction period. This metric tracks the relationship between price and volume to identify accumulation or distribution. 

Positive readings during price declines typically indicate that buyers are absorbing selling pressure. The persistence of these inflows suggests underlying demand remains intact despite short-term price weakness.

Money Flow Index analysis reveals buyers entering positions on each price dip. The MFI oscillator, which combines price and volume data, shows consistent support levels forming. 

A bullish divergence has emerged where price established lower lows while MFI maintained higher levels. This discrepancy between price action and momentum indicators frequently precedes reversals in market direction.

Stellar’s Real-World Asset ecosystem has grown nearly 11% since late December. The RWA value on the network now stands close to $986 million, reflecting increasing institutional engagement. 

This growth demonstrates practical utility beyond speculative trading activity. Network expansion provides fundamental support for potential price appreciation as adoption metrics strengthen across the blockchain platform.

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