Ryan VanGrack, Coinbase’s vice chair, went on CNBC to deliver what amounts to cautious optimism about the most important piece of crypto legislation currently working its way through Congress. The CLARITY Act, he said, is “on the one-yard line.”
The Digital Asset Market Clarity Act (H.R. 3633) is closer to a full Senate vote than any comprehensive crypto market structure bill has ever been. Whether it actually crosses the goal line before the August recess is another question entirely.
What Democrats brought to the table
The headline from VanGrack’s July 10 appearance is that Democratic lawmakers have made meaningful concessions that significantly strengthen the bill’s consumer protection provisions.
The bill advanced from the Senate Banking Committee back on May 14 with a 15-9 vote. Two Democrats crossed the aisle to support it: Senator Ruben Gallego of Arizona and Senator Angela Alsobrooks of Maryland.
A revised draft incorporating updated ethics language and the strengthened consumer protection elements is expected to drop sometime during the week of July 13-17. That timing matters, because it gives senators a narrow window to review the changes before any potential floor vote ahead of the August recess.
What the CLARITY Act actually does
The CLARITY Act tries to solve the most fundamental problem in American crypto regulation by creating a federal framework that distinguishes between digital commodities and investment contracts. It would essentially draw a map showing which assets fall under CFTC oversight and which belong to the SEC.
The bill’s focus extends beyond just sorting tokens into buckets. It addresses broader market structure questions and intersects with stablecoin regulations, creating what proponents hope will be a comprehensive governance framework for digital assets in the US.
The path forward is narrow
VanGrack’s optimism comes with a significant asterisk. Analysts peg the probability of the CLARITY Act becoming law in 2026 at roughly 50%.
That estimate reflects the number of hurdles still remaining. First, the bill needs to pass the full Senate. Then it has to survive reconciliation with whatever version the House produces. And finally, it needs a presidential signature.
The ethics provisions remain a particular sticking point. The negotiations around this language suggest there are still meaningful disagreements about how far the bill should go in regulating conflicts of interest and insider trading within the digital asset space.
Disclosure: This article was edited by Editorial Team. For more information on how we create and review content, see our Editorial Policy.

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