
https://pbswisconsin.org/news-item/milwaukee-county-executive-david-crowley-enters-2026-race-for-governor-of-wisconsin/
Recent polling data indicates that Democratic nominee David Crowley is leading Republican nominee Tom Tiffany in the Wisconsin governor’s race. The polling, conducted by the Badger Battleground survey, shows Crowley ahead with 48% compared to Tiffany’s 44% among likely voters. This race, an open-seat contest, follows Crowley’s victory in the Democratic primary and Tiffany’s win in the Republican primary. The polling also suggests a significant lead for Crowley among independent voters, which could be a critical factor in the final outcome.
Key Takeaways
- Recent polling appears to show David Crowley leading Tom Tiffany in the Wisconsin governor race.
- The data suggests a potential increase in confidence for a Democratic win, consistent with the polling results favoring Crowley.
- Pricing may reflect increased expectations for a Democratic victory, as Crowley leads among independents.
What to Watch
Observers will be looking for further polling data to confirm whether Crowley maintains his lead over Tiffany. Key indicators will include any major endorsements or fundraising discrepancies that could influence the race dynamics. Additionally, any shifts in voter sentiment or campaign developments, such as gaffes or strategic moves, could impact the market’s perception of the likely outcome.
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Term Structure
| will-the-democrats-win-the-wisconsin-governor-race-in-2026 | 77.5% | — | — | View market → |
| will-the-republicans-win-the-wisconsin-governor-race-in-2026 | 23.5% | — | — | View market → |

1 hour ago
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