Fidelity Exec Links Bitcoin Weakness to Gold’s Early Market Moves

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March 25, 2025 by

  • Bitcoin is down 15 to 20% while gold trades near record highs.
  • Both assets are influenced by inflation expectations and liquidity conditions.
  • Fidelity says gold reacts first due to stronger institutional involvement.

Bitcoin (BTC) continues to lag behind gold, despite both assets being influenced by similar macroeconomic forces. While gold remains near all-time highs, Bitcoin is currently experiencing a 15% to 20% drawdown. According to Fidelity, the difference in price action may stem from market maturity and investor behavior.

Bitcoin Shows Volatility Despite Favorable Macro Conditions

Bitcoin has shown minimal reaction to current macroeconomic indicators despite rising expectations about liquidity situations and intensified inflation worries. Fidelity’s director of research for digital assets, Chris Kuiper, attributes the weakness to Bitcoin’s retail-driven market. The gold market remains firmly under the control of institutional players while these players lead reactions to major macroeconomic changes.

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Bitcoin achieved new record nominal prices in late 2023, but its value relative to gold remained at the same level. Bitcoin exhibits repeated behavior by performing below gold price increases before finally gaining ground afterward. According to Kuiper, the Bitcoin market grows in line with gold behavior when liquidity development occurs.

Reliable market statistics show that gold increased about 70% from 2019 until 2020, but Bitcoin experienced limited movement. Bitcoin demonstrated a significant price growth of more than 100% following the expiration of gold’s surge period. Analysts confirm how macro market drivers tend to initiate in gold prices before propagating into the Bitcoin movement.

Gold Remains Resilient as Institutional Demand Holds Firm

Gold continues to hold strong levels amid persistent inflation concerns and expectations of further liquidity expansion. The demand for gold continues to increase because large institutional investors select it for its status as a safe haven investment. Because of investor trust the precious metal provides early indications about shifts in the macroeconomic framework.

The global asset class status of gold demonstrates its readiness because institutional investors, including central banks and hedge funds, strongly support it. These institutions operate with quick macro-level responses by sensing upcoming policy changes and liquidity increases. Investors’ initial interest in purchasing gold later induces market movements that affect Bitcoin alongside other investment vehicles.

The macroeconomic indicators that gold reveals precede Bitcoin according to a macroeconomic analysis by Fidelity. The basis of gold’s investment value stems from the fact that it serves large-scale investors in the long term yet Bitcoin functions exclusively through market speculations. The differences in their behavior patterns account for the delay between price changes in these financial products.

The market indicates Bitcoin will recover its strength when gold prices stop escalating. The market displayed this pattern when liquidity stayed favorable, and expectations of inflation continued unchanged. When investors reach their maximum returns from gold-based assets, they start investing in Bitcoin to maximize their returns.

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