House votes to kill Rep. Al Green’s Trump impeachment resolution

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The U.S. House of Representatives voted to kill Rep. Al Green’s resolution to impeach President Donald Trump, halting the latest attempt in a series of efforts by the Texas Congressman. The resolution, H.Res. 1486, was introduced on August 24 and received a vote on September 15, resulting in a 237-140 decision to table the measure. Notably, 47 Democrats voted present, and the resolution had not advanced out of the House Judiciary Committee prior to the vote. This follows previous impeachment resolutions filed by Green in June and December 2025, neither of which resulted in Trump’s removal.

The outcome appears to have had an impact on prediction markets regarding Trump’s potential departure from office before 2027. The probability of Trump being out of office by the end of 2026 has decreased slightly, with the current odds priced at 5.5% for a YES outcome. Market participants appear to interpret the House’s decision as reducing the likelihood of Trump’s removal through impeachment in the near term.

Key Takeaways

• The House’s decision to kill the impeachment resolution suggests a reduced likelihood of Trump’s removal from office through this method.
• Market pricing indicates a slight decrease in the probability of Trump leaving office before 2027, now at 5.5% YES.
• This move marks the continuation of Rep. Al Green’s efforts to impeach Trump, although none have led to a successful removal.

What to Watch

Future developments to monitor include any new impeachment efforts or significant political shifts that could alter the current market outlook. Key indicators would include any announcements from Trump or his administration that might suggest an impending resignation or removal, as well as any geopolitical events that could influence Congressional actions. Changes in the political landscape, such as shifts in party control or public opinion, could also impact market expectations regarding Trump’s tenure.

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