Hyperliquid (HYPE) Tests Critical Support Amid Nine-Week ETF Buying Streak and $100 Price Forecast

Key Takeaways

• HYPE has declined more than 2% on Monday, with the token now challenging critical support near the $68.50 trendline
• Futures Open Interest contracted by over 2% across 24 hours to reach $2.72 billion, accompanied by $2.48 million in liquidated long positions
• Institutional investors poured $10.36 million into HYPE ETFs during the previous week, marking a ninth uninterrupted week of capital inflows
• Markets launched under HIP-3 have expanded their share of Hyperliquid perpetual trading volume from 2% to approximately 50% throughout 2026
• Critical support rests at the 50-day EMA level of $63.13; a breakdown beneath this threshold may drive prices toward $53.71

Hyperliquid (HYPE) is currently exchanging hands near $65 on Monday, reflecting a decline exceeding 2% as widespread risk aversion across markets weighs on cryptocurrency valuations. This downturn continues the negative price movement observed during the previous week.

Hyperliquid (HYPE) Price

Escalating geopolitical tensions between the United States and Iran centered around oil tanker navigation rights in the Strait of Hormuz have triggered a flight from risk-oriented assets, with cryptocurrencies caught in the selloff. Alternative tokens such as HYPE have experienced heightened selling pressure as a result.

Derivatives market intelligence from CoinGlass indicates that Open Interest decreased by more than 2% during the last 24-hour period, settling at $2.72 billion. Aggregate liquidation events reached $2.93 million, with positions betting on price increases accounting for $2.48 million of this figure.

The funding rate metric has experienced a pronounced decline to 0.0275%, signaling an increase in traders establishing short positions. This represents a notable departure from the optimistic market positioning observed in prior weeks.

Institutional Capital Continues Flowing In

Notwithstanding near-term price weakness, HYPE exchange-traded funds attracted $10.36 million in net inflows throughout the past week. This achievement represents the ninth consecutive week that institutional investment vehicles focused on HYPE have recorded positive capital flows.

Source: SoSoValue

Cryptocurrency analyst Michaël van de Poppe shared an optimistic assessment on July 12, stating that the HYPE chart “is ready to break out upwards” with a price objective of $100. His thesis rests on consistent revenue expansion, a pattern of ascending peaks and troughs, and the asset maintaining position above both its 21-day and 50-day moving average indicators.

From a technical perspective, HYPE is currently challenging a breakout from an important ascending trendline situated around $68.50. The 50-day exponential moving average positioned at $63.13 now represents the nearest support zone requiring monitoring.

The Relative Strength Index has deteriorated below the neutral 50 mark to 48, while the MACD indicator is charting below its signal line. These technical readings collectively suggest diminishing bullish momentum.

A daily candle closure beneath the $63.13 threshold could establish conditions for a move toward the 50% Fibonacci retracement level located at $53.71. Conversely, a price recovery scenario would establish the previous swing high at $75.58 as the initial resistance target.

Permissionless Markets Drive Volume Growth

Beyond immediate price dynamics, Hyperliquid’s HIP-3 infrastructure has demonstrated explosive adoption. HIP-3 enables developers to launch permissionless perpetual futures markets directly onchain.

The protocol’s contribution to aggregate Hyperliquid perpetual futures volume has surged from roughly 2% when 2026 commenced to approaching 50% presently. This expansion correlates with increasing retail trader appetite for onchain equity derivatives products.

TradeXYZ has emerged as the dominant participant within this category, operating markets including XYZ100 (which tracks the Nasdaq-100 index) alongside individual equity perpetuals on companies like Nvidia and Tesla, all settled using stablecoins.

The continuous 24/7 market availability represents a fundamental attraction point—participants can respond to breaking developments at any moment without restriction to traditional market hours.

HYPE exchange-traded funds documented their ninth consecutive week of institutional capital inflows totaling $10.36 million as of the most recent reporting period.

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