
https://www.jpost.com/middle-east/iran-news/article-888397
President Masoud Pezeshkian’s recent comments denying higher casualty estimates from Iran’s January protests have sparked significant outrage among Iranians. In an interview published on Wednesday, Pezeshkian labeled those citing the higher figures as “traitors.” The official government tally reported 3,117 deaths, but rights groups and independent reports suggest the number could be much higher, with some estimates exceeding 6,000. This controversy has heightened scrutiny on Pezeshkian’s leadership, as market participants react to the potential implications for his presidency.
Key Takeaways
- Market activity suggests increased speculation regarding President Pezeshkian’s potential departure following his controversial remarks.
- Pezeshkian’s statements appear consistent with efforts to downplay the severity of January’s protests, aligning with past government narratives.
- The likelihood of Pezeshkian’s exit by December 31 seems to have slightly increased, reflecting market participants’ reactions to the political climate.
What to Watch
Observers are closely monitoring any shifts in support from key Iranian political figures such as Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC). Developments such as public criticism from prominent officials or increased international pressure could further influence Pezeshkian’s political standing. Additionally, any indication of increased military action or internal discord could impact the market’s perception of his future in office.
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Masoud Pezeshkian Out
| December 31 | 16.5% | — | — | View market → |
Will The Iranian Regime Fall September 30 20260629143335077
| September 30 2026 | 2.1% | — | — | View market → |

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