Solana price bottom below $100? Death cross hints at 30% drop

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Solana (SOL) price completed a “death cross” connected the one-day illustration connected March 12, arsenic the altcoin consolidated adjacent its semipermanent enactment level astatine $125.

This could perchance accelerate the SOL terms sell-off successful the adjacent word for a driblet beneath $100 for the archetypal clip since February 2024.

Markets, Price Analysis, Market Analysis, Altcoin Watch, Solana

Solana’s 1-day chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

A decease transverse occurs erstwhile a bearish crossover occurs betwixt the 50-day and 200-day elemental moving averages (SMAs), with the semipermanent indicator supra the short-term indicator.

Last month, the 50-day and 200-day exponential moving averages (EMAs) triggered a decease transverse connected Solana’s one-day chart, aft which prices dropped 17%, from $137 to $122.

While the SMA and EMA decease crosses transportation akin implications, the EMA triggers the decease transverse faster since it responds much rapidly to terms changes. A treble decease transverse from the SMA and EMA volition apt summation the anticipation of a correction.

Historically, the likelihood are neutral for Solana. Since its inception, SOL’s terms has witnessed a decease transverse 3 times (including 2025) erstwhile prices person been connected a 90-day oregon higher downtrend.

The archetypal decease transverse successful 2022 triggered a 90% collapse, but the FTX’s fiasco escalated its severity. The 2nd decease transverse occurred successful September 2024, but it reversed wrong a month, starring to the Trump rally.

Related: 3 reasons wherefore Ethereum tin outperform its rivals aft crashing to 17-month lows

Yet, the existent operation and sentiment reflector the 2022 decease transverse erstwhile we comparison marketplace conditions. On some occasions, a caller all-time precocious preceded the downtrend, which led to the decease cross.

As Cointelegraph reported, Solana’s gross dropped 93% since January, dropping from $238 cardinal to $32 million. This indicates a existent deficiency of enactment connected Solana’s web aft the extremity of the memecoin frenzy.

Can Solana traders support $125?

Based connected its technicals, Solana remains successful a tricky spot erstwhile comparing erstwhile decease transverse returns and corporate marketplace sentiment.

Solana indispensable clasp enactment betwixt $125 and $110 for a bullish reversal. Since March 2024, SOL prices person rebounded six times aft investigating the enactment range, closing supra $125 connected each play retest.

Markets, Price Analysis, Market Analysis, Altcoin Watch, Solana

Solana 1-week chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

A play adjacent beneath $125 volition awesome marketplace weakness, perchance expanding the likelihood of a driblet beneath $100. The contiguous terms people aft $110 is astir $80 for Solana, which is simply a important 30% correction. The downtrend people carries confluence with the play 0.5 Fibonacci retracement line.

Markets, Price Analysis, Market Analysis, Altcoin Watch, Solana

Solana bullish divergences connected the 1-day and 4-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

However, the bulls volition pin their hopes connected a bullish divergence betwixt the terms and comparative spot scale (RSI) connected the 1-day and 4-hour charts.

If Solana manages to debar different little low, the divergences volition stay valid, which tin propulsion prices higher supra $125, enabling Solana to debar a driblet beneath $100 and perchance found a bottommost astatine $112.

Related: Will Bitcoin terms reclaim $95K earlier the extremity of March?

This nonfiction does not incorporate concern proposal oregon recommendations. Every concern and trading determination involves risk, and readers should behaviour their ain probe erstwhile making a decision.

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