XRP Holds Above Key Support – Here Is Why This Week Could Decide Its Next Big Move

• XRP is consolidating near $1.14 after a strong rally from late June, with traders watching the $1.10 support closely.
• Regulatory developments, whale accumulation, and XRP Ledger upgrades remain the biggest catalysts for the weeks ahead.
• A breakout above $1.18 could revive bullish momentum, while losing support may send XRP back toward $1.05.

XRP has started the new week on a quieter note, taking a brief pause after last week’s impressive recovery.

The cryptocurrency is trading around $1.14, down slightly over the past 24 hours, while Bitcoin has managed to remain marginally in positive territory. The pullback doesn’t appear to be driven by negative news or anything Ripple-specific. Instead, it looks more like traders locking in profits after XRP surged more than 13% from its late-June lows.

For now, the broader trend hasn’t changed much. Buyers are still defending an important support area, but the next few sessions could determine whether XRP resumes its climb or slips into a deeper correction.

XRP Rally Cools After Short Squeeze

The recent move higher wasn’t random.

Between June 25 and July 4, XRP climbed from roughly $1.01 to around $1.16, fueled largely by a wave of short liquidations. As bearish traders were forced to close leveraged positions, buying pressure accelerated and helped extend the rally.

The recovery also came alongside improving on-chain activity.

New XRP wallet creation reached its highest level in roughly three months, while the XRP/BTC trading pair completed a technical golden cross, a pattern many traders associate with strengthening momentum.

Still, there’s a reason some investors remain cautious.

Data from the Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) indicator suggests the average XRP holder remains about 45% underwater over the past month. That means many investors could be tempted to sell into strength simply to recover previous losses, creating additional resistance as prices move higher.

Regulatory Uncertainty Still Hangs Over XRP

Beyond the charts, regulation continues to be one of XRP’s biggest storylines.

Many investors had expected progress on the Digital Asset Market CLARITY Act around the July 4 period, but the legislation has been delayed as lawmakers continue negotiating several provisions involving ethics requirements and decentralized finance.

The bill is now expected to return later this month, or potentially in August.

Until greater regulatory clarity arrives, some institutional investors may continue taking a cautious approach toward digital assets, limiting the kind of buying momentum many traders have been hoping for.

Competition in Blockchain Payments Is Heating Up

Ripple isn’t the only blockchain focused on fast and affordable payments.

Cardano founder Charles Hoskinson recently said the network’s upcoming Leios upgrade could increase throughput by as much as 60 times, potentially bringing Cardano closer to the transaction speeds already associated with the XRP Ledger.

That doesn’t directly threaten XRP today, but it does highlight an increasingly competitive landscape.

As blockchain networks continue improving scalability and payment efficiency, investors are paying closer attention to which ecosystems can attract real-world adoption over the long term.

Technical Picture Remains Balanced

From a technical perspective, XRP appears to be entering an important decision zone.

After reaching resistance near $1.16 to $1.17, the rally has cooled as sellers stepped in. Momentum indicators have also eased from overbought conditions without fully turning bearish.

The Stochastic Oscillator has moved lower after reaching elevated levels, while the Ultimate Oscillator remains near neutral territory, suggesting bullish momentum has weakened but hasn’t disappeared.

For now, the most important support sits between $1.10 and $1.12.

As long as buyers continue defending that area, another move toward $1.18 remains possible. A successful breakout above that level could even open the door for a push toward $1.20, where stronger resistance would likely emerge.

If support fails, however, XRP could revisit the $1.05 region before attracting fresh demand.

Whale Accumulation Offers a Bullish Signal

One encouraging trend continues to come from large XRP holders.

Wallets holding at least one million XRP now control roughly 74.1% of the circulating supply. Over the past six months alone, these large investors have accumulated more than 1.53 billion XRP, signaling continued confidence despite recent market volatility.

Whale accumulation doesn’t guarantee higher prices, but it often suggests that long-term investors remain optimistic even during periods of uncertainty.

Combined with potential XRP Ledger upgrades—including proposed native lending features and AMM v2 improvements—many investors believe Ripple’s ecosystem could continue expanding beyond cross-border payments.

What Comes Next for XRP?

The outlook for XRP remains closely tied to both technical levels and regulatory developments.

If buyers successfully defend the $1.10-$1.12 support zone while broader market conditions remain stable, another attempt at $1.18 appears increasingly likely. Clearing that level could strengthen bullish momentum and attract additional buyers.

A more neutral outcome would see XRP continue trading sideways between support and resistance as investors wait for fresh catalysts, particularly around U.S. crypto legislation.

On the downside, losing the $1.10 support level would likely invite additional selling pressure, with $1.05 becoming the next major area traders will be watching.

For now, XRP remains in a holding pattern—but with regulation, whale accumulation, and technical levels all converging, the next breakout may not be far away.

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