Markets · Explained
Bitcoin holds near $84,000 as $15.6 billion options expiry clears
About $15.6 billion in bitcoin options settled on Deribit around September 25 while BTC held near $84,000 and altcoins kept climbing.
Key takeaways
- About $15.6 billion in bitcoin options reached settlement on September 25, according to Bitcoinist, while bitcoin held in the mid-$83,000 range.
- Coinspeaker put the bitcoin notional at roughly $15.9 billion and the combined total with Ethereum options at about $16.53 billion.
- Open interest and volume fell, liquidations stayed balanced, and spot bitcoin ETF inflows remained positive.
What happened
About $15.6 billion in Bitcoin options reached settlement on September 25, Bitcoinist reported. The expiry cleared a large concentration of derivatives positions while Bitcoin held in the mid-$83,000 range. Ahead of settlement, the options book represented roughly 182,000 BTC. Calls outnumbered puts, with about 106,200 BTC of call open interest against roughly 75,900 BTC of puts.
Decrypt also cited $15.6 billion in Bitcoin options expiring on Deribit and said dealers often unwind hedges once that flow clears. Coinspeaker put the Bitcoin figure at roughly $15.9 billion, covering 184,000 contracts, and said $2.13 billion in Ethereum options brought the combined total to about $16.53 billion.
Bitcoinist said the expiry passed without the spot market blowing up. Price action around it was choppy. Decrypt reported Bitcoin slipped to around $83,600 on Friday, a pullback of roughly 1% from the prior close, after an intraday high near $87,000 earlier in the week. Bitcoinist said BTC traded around $83,600 after pulling back from that high, and Coinspeaker reported Bitcoin trading near $84,590, up 1.41% over 24 hours.
Why it matters
Large quarterly expiries matter because options dealers and traders often hedge their exposures in the spot and futures markets, Bitcoinist reported. As expiry approaches, price changes can force those hedges to be adjusted, and once the contracts settle, some of those flows disappear. Bitcoinist stressed that the $15.6 billion figure is the notional value of the contracts, not $15.6 billion of Bitcoin being bought or sold.
The expiry left a mechanical footprint. Decrypt reported open interest and 24-hour trading volume both fell sharply, down 14.39% and 13.68%. Liquidations were fairly balanced: $161.96 million in long positions against $156.1 million in shorts in the last 24 hours. Decrypt said the balance looked like leverage being reset, not a one-sided flush.
Coinspeaker reported max pain for the expiry sat between $75,000 and $78,000, while Bitcoin spent the week trading well above it, and the put-to-call ratio ranged between 0.69 and 0.84. Bitcoinist noted that XRP was up roughly 15% across seven days and Solana had gained around 9%, a divergence suggesting the expiry was not producing a broad flight from crypto risk.
What the data shows
U.S.-listed Bitcoin ETFs took in $190.7 million on September 24, led by BlackRock's IBIT at $162.6 million, Coinspeaker reported. Decrypt put Friday's spot bitcoin ETF intake at $299.09 million. Bitcoin.com News reported $2.39 billion of weekly inflows, which pushed 2026 year-to-date flows back into positive territory. Coinspeaker reported total net assets across these funds at $111.28 billion, with $57.87 billion in cumulative inflows since launch.
Bitcoin.com News reported ETFs absorbed roughly 27,800 BTC over the week, equivalent to two months' worth of new issuance. Coinspeaker reported volume cooled to $34.31 billion, down 27.13%.
Coinspeaker reported Bitcoin trading near $84,590, up 1.41% over 24 hours, and Bitcoin.com News reported BTC bouncing back to trade near $84,000 after a seven-day low of $82,500, still up more than 7% for the month. Bitcoin.com News also reported that bitcoin's price action vaporized nearly $92 million in long bets versus $33.5 million in short bets in 24 hours, while the wider crypto economy saw $398 million in long leveraged positions wiped out against $132 million in shorts.
Across the market, Decrypt reported total crypto market cap at $2.87 trillion, down from the $3 trillion-plus level reached earlier in the week, and the Fear and Greed Index easing to 72 from a peak of 79. XRP traded near $1.58 at a $99 billion market cap, up 4.37% over the past day, while Solana changed hands at around $119.84 and a $70 billion market cap.
Background
Macro conditions sat in the background. Decrypt reported the Federal Reserve raised rates 25 basis points to a range of 3.75% to 4% on September 16, its first hike since 2023, while continuing to buy short-term Treasury bills. Chair Kevin Warsh's post-meeting dot plot projected a median rate of 4.1% through the end of 2027. Decrypt reported Fed Governor Michael Barr said on September 23 that further policy adjustments are likely needed, alongside a core PCE inflation reading of 3.4%.
Decrypt reported odds of an October hike climbed to roughly 75% on the CME's FedWatch tool and 68.5% on Myriad Markets. On the technical side, Decrypt said Bitcoin's daily setup still reads bullish, with the 50-day moving average above the 200-day in a pattern known as a golden cross. Coinspeaker said Bitcoin holds above $82,303 and the 50-day EMA at $76,476 has crossed above the 200-day EMA at $73,970.
Altcoin context also built through the period. Decrypt reported Solana's Alpenglow upgrade, which cuts transaction finality to roughly 150 milliseconds, cleared a validator governance vote with overwhelming support, though its mainnet activation date remains tentative. Decrypt added that spot Solana ETFs from Fidelity, Grayscale and VanEck, which launched back in November 2025, continue to see inflows.
What is still unclear
- The reported notional differs by outlet. Bitcoinist and Decrypt cited about $15.6 billion, while Coinspeaker cited roughly $15.9 billion for BTC options alone and about $16.53 billion including Ethereum options.
- Contract counts differ too. Bitcoinist said the options book represented roughly 182,000 BTC, while Coinspeaker reported 184,000 contracts.
- Whether demand holds without the expiry is open. Bitfinex analysts wrote that the answer will depend on whether the buyers who drove the rally continue to buy above their own cost.
- Coinspeaker said the risk is that expiry removes a floor as well as a ceiling, and that thin post-expiry liquidity can exaggerate moves in either direction.
Questions readers ask
Did the bitcoin options expiry send BTC sharply lower?
Bitcoinist reported the spot market came through the expiry without blowing up, and BTC traded around $83,600 after pulling back from an intraday high near $87,000. Coinspeaker reported Bitcoin near $84,590, up 1.41% over 24 hours.
What was max pain for the September bitcoin options expiry?
Coinspeaker reported max pain for this expiry sat between $75,000 and $78,000. Coinspeaker defines max pain as the level where the largest number of contracts expire worthless.
How much did spot bitcoin ETFs take in?
Decrypt reported $299.09 million on Friday. Coinspeaker reported $190.7 million on September 24, led by BlackRock's IBIT at $162.6 million, and Bitcoin.com News reported $2.39 billion over the past week, which pushed 2026 year-to-date flows back into positive territory.
Was the $15.6 billion figure bitcoin that was bought or sold?
No. Bitcoinist reported that the figure represents the notional value of the options contracts, and that a $15.6 billion expiry does not mean $15.6 billion of Bitcoin was bought or sold.