XRP Enters October After Three Green Months and ETF Inflows

What happened

XRP ended September in the green, its third consecutive monthly gain. The streak began with a minor increase in July. August was the most successful month in over a year, with a 30% gain. September added just under 10%, and XRP ended it at over $1.50, after failing to break $1.60 resistance several times.

Spot XRP ETFs recorded more than $120 million in September inflows, lifting cumulative net inflows to nearly $1.8 billion. The funds have not seen a single red week since early July.

XRP enters October at $1.50, with a slight 1% gain over 24 hours. Price rebounded from the $1.47, $1.48 area, but the immediate test is $1.55, followed by resistance between $1.60 and $1.65. The $1.55, $1.60 resistance band has yet to give way.

Why it matters

October has a bullish reputation, but XRP has not always benefited. The past two Octobers delivered double-digit losses. XRP fell 16.7% in October 2024 and suffered another sharp decline during last year's October 10 market liquidation.

Data from CryptoRank shows that only five out of the last 13 Octobers have been green for XRP. The last green October was in 2023, when the asset jumped by 16.5%. This time, institutional demand and upcoming XRP Ledger amendments meet macro pressure from elevated Treasury yields and crowded long positioning.

What the data shows

XRP's latest price is $1.50, green by a slight 1% gain over 24 hours. A sustained move through $1.60, $1.65 could put $1.70 in play, a stronger breakout would require follow-through, not just a brief wick. XRP will likely hold $1.48, $1.50 and continue ranging as traders wait for flows and macro cues. However, a loss of $1.48 weakens the setup and exposes $1.42, $1.45, with lower support around $1.25, $1.32.

What is still unclear

• Whether XRP can clear the $1.55, $1.60 resistance band remains uncertain.
• The impact of the 1 billion XRP escrow unlock depends on how much supply returns to escrow.

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