Bitcoin reclaims $83,000 as traders eye overhead resistance
Bitcoin climbed back above $83,000 after a Thursday low of $80,308, but analysts say holding $82,800 matters for the next move.
Key takeaways
- The level to watch. $82,800 is the threshold analysts flag for another test of $85,000 to $87,000.
- Downside risk remains. A break under $80,400 shifts attention to the $79,700, $77,000 demand zone.
- ETF flows turned. Spot bitcoin ETFs posted net outflows in three of the last four days, with more than $700 million leaving this week.
What happened
Bitcoin briefly reclaimed $83,000 on Friday after plunging to a month-to-date low of $80,308 on Thursday, pushing its market capitalization back to nearly $1.66 trillion. By 1:30 p.m. ET the price hovered near $82,615. The 50-day simple moving average was able to support the price at $80,300, according to Crypto Daily.
The rebound followed a correction that started Tuesday and bottomed Thursday, wiping nearly $6,400 from the price and sending it through the bottom of its bull flag.
Derivatives activity shifted after Thursday's flash crash. Total liquidations across the crypto market fell to $228 million from $1.1 billion about 24 hours prior, as long liquidations cooled and short forced closures rose.
Bitunix put bitcoin long liquidations at roughly $220.17 million against $45.71 million in shorts, a ratio of about 4.8 to 1. Across the wider market, long liquidations reached $930.49 million against $162.06 million in shorts.
Spot bitcoin exchange-traded funds, which are seen as a gauge of institutional interest, saw more than $700 million leave this week, dampening analyst expectations for a record-setting October.
Why it matters
The $83K level is the immediate test. Crypto Daily says the rally is back on if bulls push the price back above the $83K horizontal resistance level. On the weekly timeframe, the same level still counts as support until a candle closes below it.
Analysts tie the next move to open interest and ETF flows. Bitcoin needs to reclaim $82,800 before another test of $85,000 to $87,000. A break beneath the recent low near $80,400 would shift attention to the $79,700, $77,000 demand zone, and heavier selling could put the $70,500, $72,900 region in focus.
Broader signals are mixed. The U.S. 10-year bond yield is up 0.10%, while S&P 500 futures are up 0.43% on Friday, which Crypto Daily says could pass bullish sentiment to crypto if it holds. A 5% move from around $83K would break the top of the bull flag.
What the data shows
- Bitcoin traded near $82,615 at 1:30 p.m. ET, with a market capitalization of nearly $1.66 trillion.
- Total crypto liquidations fell to $228 million from $1.1 billion about 24 hours prior.
- Bitunix counted about $220.17 million in bitcoin long liquidations against $45.71 million in shorts.
- Broad crypto long liquidations reached $930.49 million, against $162.06 million in shorts.
- Spot bitcoin ETFs posted net outflows in three of the last four days, after inflows from late September into October.
- The 50-day SMA met and held support at $80,300.
What is still unclear
- Whether $83K flips back into support is unresolved, and Crypto Daily warns a rejection could send the price lower.
- Momentum could fade. A retest of the flag bottom with sideways chop would make a rejection more likely.
- For an upside test, analysts want to see open interest recover and ETF outflows moderate.
Questions readers ask
Why did bitcoin fall this week?
Crypto Daily reported a correction that began Tuesday and bottomed Thursday, wiping nearly $6,400 from the price. Spot bitcoin ETF outflows of more than $700 million this week added pressure, according to Bitcoin.com News.
What level does bitcoin need to reclaim?
Analysts say bitcoin first needs to reclaim $82,800 before another test of $85,000 to $87,000.
What happens if $83K rejects again?
Analysts point to a break beneath the recent low near $80,400, which would shift attention toward the $79,700, $77,000 demand zone.
Are bitcoin ETF flows still negative?
After sustained inflows from late September into October, spot bitcoin ETFs have posted net outflows in three of the last four days.