Saylor Says Bitcoin Bull Market Has Started, $100K Coming
Strategy's Michael Saylor believes Bitcoin has bottomed and will climb above $100,000, citing improving economic conditions and institutional adoption.
Key takeaways
- Strategy's Bitcoin holdings. Strategy holds 848,250 BTC after purchasing 250 BTC for $21.5 million in October.
- Long-term growth outlook. Saylor expects Bitcoin to deliver annualized growth of 20% to 30% over the coming years.
- Index exclusion risk. JPMorgan estimates that Strategy's potential MSCI exclusion could put $2.8 billion in investment flows at risk.
What happened
Michael Saylor, executive chairman of Strategy, declared on October 13 that Bitcoin has entered a new bull market and will eventually recover above $100,000. Speaking to Bloomberg, Saylor said the cryptocurrency bottomed slightly below $60,000 and has since recovered into the $80,000 range, where it was trading near $83,000 at the time of his comments.
Saylor attributed his outlook to improving economic conditions, institutional adoption of Bitcoin, and growing demand for Bitcoin-backed financial products. He cited changing monetary policy, regulatory developments, and increasing institutional participation as factors supporting his prediction, though he did not specify a timeline for reaching the $100,000 target.
Bitcoin reached an October 2025 peak of $126,251 but then declined sharply. The market experienced approximately $19 billion in liquidations shortly after that record, which added pressure to leveraged positions. Since mid-August, Bitcoin has traded around $80,000.
Strategy announced a recent Bitcoin purchase of 250 BTC for approximately $21.5 million during October 5, 11, bringing its total holdings to 848,250 BTC. The company also repurchased $192.4 million of STRC preferred shares during the same period.
First $84.4KLatest $83.6K-1.0% over the period
Points are daily observations, not closing prices.
Why it matters
Saylor's bullish stance reflects growing confidence among major Bitcoin holders about market recovery. He expects Bitcoin to deliver annualized growth of 20% to 30% over the coming years and said Strategy likely acquired more Bitcoin than any other company in 2026. Strategy plans to issue additional securities to finance further purchases as the market recovers.
Strategy's track record matters to this forecast. Since its first Bitcoin purchase in August 2020, Bitcoin has climbed about 38% a year, while Strategy's stock has returned about 52% to 53% annually. Saylor positioned Bitcoin as an asset that artificial intelligence cannot produce, calling it the king of commodities.
However, Strategy faces an immediate test unrelated to Bitcoin's price. MSCI will announce by October 16 whether it will adopt new eligibility rules that could exclude companies primarily engaged in accumulating assets rather than operating businesses. JPMorgan estimated that a potential exclusion could put approximately $2.8 billion in investment flows at risk.
What is still unclear
- Prediction markets were assigning only 27% odds to Bitcoin reaching $100,000 as of October 14, which contrasts with Saylor's confidence in the outcome.
Questions readers ask
What did Michael Saylor say about Bitcoin reaching $100,000?
Saylor told Bloomberg on October 13 that Bitcoin has entered a bull market and will recover above $100,000. He said the cryptocurrency bottomed slightly below $60,000 and is now trading near $83,000. However, he did not specify a timeline for reaching the $100,000 target.
How much Bitcoin does Strategy hold?
Strategy holds 848,250 BTC after purchasing 250 BTC for approximately $21.5 million during October 5, 11. The company also repurchased $192.4 million of STRC preferred shares during the same period.
What is the risk to Strategy from MSCI index changes?
MSCI will announce by October 16 whether it will adopt new eligibility rules that could exclude Strategy from its global equity indexes. JPMorgan estimated that a potential exclusion could put approximately $2.8 billion in investment flows at risk. Saylor criticized the approach and urged MSCI to reconsider.
What long-term growth does Saylor expect from Bitcoin?
Saylor expects Bitcoin to deliver annualized growth of 20% to 30% over the coming years.