Bitcoin Sunday Rally Meets Monday Dump Warning as TD Sequential Signals Flash
Analyst Ali Martinez and Ali Charts point to a Sunday-to-Monday reversal pattern and TD Sequential sell signals on BTC, ETH and SOL.
Key takeaways
- Five pairs flipped. A table of five Sunday-Monday pairs from August 29 to September 28 showed every pair changed direction.
- Three coins signaled. TD Sequential sell signals appeared on the four-hour charts of Bitcoin, Ethereum and Solana.
- Bitcoin's past drops. The last four comparable Bitcoin sell signals were followed by declines of 1.74%, 4.37%, 3.11% and 1.96%.
What happened
Bitcoin climbed more than 1% on October 4. Analyst Ali Martinez warned the same day that BTC could be in for a Monday pullback, citing multiple Sunday-to-Monday reversals and new TD Sequential sell signals on Bitcoin, Ethereum and Solana. Ali Charts raised the same theme in a six-part thread on X that went live at 11:09 PM on October 4. The first post had recorded 3,604 views at that point.
Martinez shared a table covering five Sunday-Monday pairs between August 29 and September 28, and every pair flipped direction. A 0.50% Sunday gain on August 29 was followed by a 0.68% Monday loss. A 0.66% Sunday gain on September 6 came before a 1.54% Monday loss. Sunday moves on September 13 and September 20 fell 0.57% and 0.10%, then rose 1.75% and 6.71% on Monday. On September 27, BTC ended up 0.01% and fell 1.12% on Monday.
The TD Sequential indicator, which tries to find points where a price move may be losing strength, added a second warning. Martinez said Bitcoin's four-hour chart flashed a sell signal, and each of the previous four comparable signals was followed by a correction. Ali Charts reported the same signal on Bitcoin. Ethereum and Solana also produced similar signals, the reports say.
Why it matters
The warnings cover BTC, ETH and SOL. Bitcoin's four prior corrections after comparable signals were 1.74%, 4.37%, 3.11% and 1.96%. Ethereum's last two signals were followed by declines of 5.40% and 3.31%, while Solana's last three preceded corrections of 2.44%, 5.76% and 5.30%.
Ali Charts said the factors point to a possible pullback. The signal appeared while Bitcoin traded higher on the day. Price context also matters: BTC climbed above $87,000 after an unexpectedly weak US jobs report on Friday, then dropped below $84,000. Lacie Zhang of Bitget Wallet research put critical resistance at $87,500 and support at $82,000 to $85,000.
What the data shows
CoinGecko data put BTC at a couple of hundred dollars above $86,000 at the time of writing. The 24-hour gain was about 1.5%, and the seven-day gain was nearly 4%. Over two weeks the gain was almost 6%, and over 30 days it was over 8%. BTC remained down roughly 31% on the year and about the same distance below its all-time high of over $126,000.
What is still unclear
- The sample covers five Sunday-Monday pairs, and CryptoPotato noted that five weeks may feel thin while the last Sunday gain was close to flat.
- Ali Charts did not list the size of the four Bitcoin corrections, while Martinez shared declines of 1.74%, 4.37%, 3.11% and 1.96%.
Questions readers ask
Why did analysts warn of a Monday Bitcoin pullback?
Ali Martinez and Ali Charts pointed to a month of Sunday-to-Monday reversals and TD Sequential sell signals on Bitcoin, Ethereum and Solana. Martinez said on October 4 that BTC could face a Monday pullback.
What were the previous declines after TD Sequential sell signals?
Bitcoin's earlier examples showed declines of 1.74%, 4.37%, 3.11% and 1.96%. Ethereum's last two readings came before drops of 5.40% and 3.31%. Solana's previous three were followed by corrections of 2.44%, 5.76% and 5.30%.
What Bitcoin price levels did analysts cite?
The reports cite $87,500 as critical resistance and $82,000 to $85,000 as the support range. BTC moved above $87,000 before dropping below $84,000.