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Markets · In depth

Zcash slips below $1,000 as ETF outflows offset Grayscale funding pledge

ZEC traded near $979, down more than 25% in a week, as Grayscale's Zcash ETF saw November outflows despite a $1 million ecosystem pledge.

CoinDesk CC AI Desk
· 5 min read
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Zcash slips below $1,000 as ETF outflows offset Grayscale funding pledge
Image: Crypto.news

Key takeaways

  1. Below $1,000. ZEC traded near $979 on Nov. 12, down about 3.7% in 24 hours and more than 25% in seven days.
  2. ETF outflows. ZCSH recorded nearly $30 million in November net outflows through Nov. 11, after about $46.25 million in October, even as Grayscale announced ecosystem funding.
  3. Treasury poll. A draft proposal would remove 50,000 ZEC from community grants and end an 8% block-reward share; polling is set for Nov. 16, 30.

What happened

Zcash traded below $1,000 on Nov. 12, changing hands near $979, according to crypto.news market data. The token was down about 3.7% in 24 hours and more than 25% over the prior week, after moving between $950 and $1,020 during the session. Bitcoin was little changed near $73,700 over the same period. The move extended a reversal from last week's rally, when ZEC rose above $1,300 and traders watched for a run toward $1,500. On Nov. 6, the token climbed above $1,370, with $1,350 identified as a key resistance level.

The slide came even after Grayscale announced fresh support for the Zcash ecosystem. On Nov. 10, the asset manager said it would direct 100% of sponsor fees collected from its Zcash ETF, ZCSH, toward network development, marketing, community activities and education for up to one year. It has already awarded $400,000, split evenly among the Zcash Foundation, Shielded Labs, Project Tachyon and Pretty Good Policy for Zcash. The commitment concerns how Grayscale uses fund revenue; it is not a promise to buy ZEC tokens.

ETF flows have moved the other way. ZCSH, which trades on NYSE Arca, recorded nearly $30 million in net outflows in November through Nov. 11, following roughly $46.25 million in October, according to SoSoValue. Meanwhile, leveraged positions added pressure. CoinGlass data showed about $18 million in ZEC liquidations over 24 hours, with long positions accounting for roughly 72%. Open interest stood near $2.12 billion, while the funding rate remained positive near 0.0056%.

On the daily chart, ZEC sat below its 20-day moving average of $1,206.82 and its lower Bollinger Band at $1,005.11. Immediate support was placed between $960 and $980, followed by the $900 level and then $800. A recovery would first require reclaiming $1,005 to return inside the Bollinger Bands; the 20-day average near $1,207 was described as the next major resistance. The 14-day RSI was near 34, close to the oversold threshold of 30.

$1.3K$967.8913 Oct12 Nov

First $1.2KLatest $989.06-18.9% over the period

Points are daily observations, not closing prices.

Why it matters

The episode highlights a gap between ecosystem funding and market flows. Grayscale's pledge may support development and education, but it does not remove tokens from supply or counter redemptions from its ETF. At the same time, the derivatives data suggest that traders have been closing leveraged bets, including positions that assumed ZEC would recover. A taker buy/sell ratio of 0.96 indicated that market sell orders outnumbered buy orders during the measured period.

The price weakness also arrives as Zcash governance is weighing a change to community funding. A draft improvement proposal would remove 50,000 ZEC from Zcash Community Grants and end its 8% share of new block rewards. The authors say the token's price rise makes it possible to shrink the treasury while keeping the grants program running. Because the proposal affects both funding and future block rewards, its outcome is another variable for holders to assess alongside ETF flows and leverage.

What the data shows

Market data placed ZEC near $979, within a $950, $1,020 session range, down 3.7% in 24 hours and more than 25% in seven days. ZCSH saw nearly $30 million in November net outflows through Nov. 11 after about $46.25 million in October. Liquidations totaled about $18 million in 24 hours, with longs at roughly 72%; open interest was near $2.12 billion and the funding rate about 0.0056%.

CoinGlass figures for Nov. 12 showed $3.74 million in Zcash futures net inflows and $11.32 million in spot net inflows. The reports noted repeated futures outflows through October and early November, so the latest positive flows did not confirm that selling pressure had ended. On the chart, support was listed at $960, $980, then $900 and $800. Resistance included $1,005 and the 20-day moving average near $1,207, while the RSI was around 34.

Background

Grayscale's Zcash ETF began trading in August after the firm converted an existing investment trust into an exchange-traded product. The fund's November outflows followed a larger October withdrawal figure reported by SoSoValue. Grayscale's $1 million initiative, announced Nov. 10, is intended to fund organizations working on Zcash development, privacy technology and community projects, and was accompanied by an investor education campaign.

On Nov. 6, Zcash completed its NU7 upgrade, which reduced the target block interval from 75 seconds to 25 seconds and introduced changes to shielded transaction limits. The network change came before the latest price retreat. Separately, a draft Zcash Improvement Proposal by Sean Bowe, Zooko Wilcox and Jason McGee was merged into the specifications on Nov. 11. It would remove 50,000 ZEC from the grants treasury. Blockonomi, citing The Defiant, reported that the ZCG dashboard showed 93,657.47 ZEC in a Nov. 7 snapshot; the proposed removal equals about 53.4% of that balance, or roughly $49 million at current prices. The removed coins would be credited to the Network Sustainability Mechanism, which returns value through future block rewards, while the 8% stream would go to a new Future Dev and Legal Defense Fund Lockbox until the third halving. The lockbox could not spend funds until a separate proposal sets withdrawal rules.

What is still unclear

The reports do not establish a single cause for the decline. ETF withdrawals, derivatives liquidations and broader caution around leveraged positions all coincided with the move, but their relative weight is not quantified. It also remains to be seen whether the funding commitment changes sentiment; the reports stress that it directs sponsor fee revenue rather than buying ZEC. The treasury proposal's path is likewise not final: polling is scheduled, and any rough consensus would still require engineers and miners to agree on a network upgrade date.

What to watch

Watch items include ETF flow data for ZCSH, derivatives positioning and whether ZEC can reclaim $1,005 or lose the $900 area. Zcash's next community funding proposal window closes Nov. 13. Polling on the treasury proposal is set for Nov. 16, 30, with participants able to support, oppose or abstain on each option, including keeping Zcash Community Grants unchanged. Voting on the existing grants program is scheduled for Dec. 17, 29. Analysts cited by the reports offered a range of scenarios: Altcoin Sherpa looked for a possible bottom between $800 and $900, while Crypto Patel advised partial profit-taking and stop-loss orders and mentioned a speculative $500, $200 region.

Questions readers ask

Did Grayscale's funding pledge involve buying ZEC?

No. Grayscale said it would direct 100% of sponsor fees from ZCSH toward development, marketing, community activities and education for up to one year. The reports describe this as spending fund revenue, not a promise to purchase ZEC tokens.

What would the treasury proposal change?

It would remove 50,000 ZEC from Zcash Community Grants and end the program's 8% share of new block rewards. The 8% stream would go to a Future Dev and Legal Defense Fund Lockbox until the third halving, and polling is scheduled for Nov. 16, 30.

Which price levels are in focus?

Reports listed immediate support at $960, $980, then $900 and $800. A recovery would first need ZEC to reclaim $1,005 to move back inside its Bollinger Bands, with the 20-day moving average near $1,207 as the next major resistance.

Sources · 2 publishers

  1. Crypto.news TIER 2 FIRST REPORT
    Zcash price drops below $1,000 despite Grayscale’s $1M pledge
  2. Blockonomi TIER 3
    Zcash (ZEC) Price Slips Below $1,000 Ahead of Vote on 50,000 ZEC Treasury Cut